Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.042707 0.046618 0.050593 0.054926 0.059511 0.064210 0.069384
2025-03-09 0.035413 0.041007 0.046916 0.053596 0.060910 0.068647 0.077426
2025-03-16 0.031623 0.038567 0.046151 0.054987 0.064935 0.075728 0.088261
2025-03-23 0.028258 0.036171 0.045085 0.055754 0.068063 0.081707 0.097864
2025-03-30 0.025433 0.034069 0.044078 0.056354 0.070826 0.087170 0.106849
2025-04-06 0.022638 0.031715 0.042530 0.056107 0.072436 0.091197 0.114128
2025-04-13 0.021075 0.030701 0.042447 0.057484 0.075874 0.097300 0.123808
2025-04-20 0.018812 0.028599 0.040853 0.056870 0.076800 0.100356 0.129861
2025-04-27 0.017230 0.027241 0.040072 0.057154 0.078736 0.104562 0.137253
2025-05-04 0.016168 0.026481 0.039977 0.058238 0.081615 0.109886 0.145993
2025-05-11 0.015529 0.026241 0.040517 0.060103 0.085459 0.116400 0.156213
2025-05-18 0.013433 0.023790 0.037969 0.057822 0.083939 0.116217 0.158192
2025-05-25 0.012023 0.022247 0.036598 0.057065 0.084381 0.118521 0.163327
2025-06-01 0.010844 0.020957 0.035503 0.056617 0.085180 0.121256 0.169010
2025-06-08 0.010494 0.020913 0.036156 0.058552 0.089132 0.128030 0.179814
2025-06-15 0.009917 0.020464 0.036191 0.059612 0.091917 0.133327 0.188798
2025-06-22 0.009307 0.019911 0.036036 0.060377 0.094294 0.138105 0.197152
2025-06-29 0.008500 0.018965 0.035240 0.060188 0.095348 0.141152 0.203301
2025-07-06 0.008172 0.018806 0.035616 0.061672 0.098690 0.147205 0.213346
2025-07-13 0.007376 0.017761 0.034573 0.061046 0.099089 0.149370 0.218372
2025-07-20 0.006854 0.017161 0.034187 0.061355 0.100767 0.153219 0.225592
2025-07-27 0.006547 0.016932 0.034372 0.062499 0.103613 0.158633 0.234874
2025-08-03 0.006424 0.017040 0.035098 0.064461 0.107630 0.165643 0.246291